Three detailedWork/Technology 2050 Global Scenarios, national workshops to identify actions to address the issues raised in the three scenarios,93 actionsassessed by futurists and related experts around the world.Orderprintordownload.
A pragmatic exploration of possible futures – choices and consequences – really exercised my imagination. — Vint Cerf, Internet pioneer
Since 1997, The Millennium Project has published 19 editions ofThe State of Futurein 8 languages: English, Spanish, Chinese, French, Arabic, Japanese, Korean, and Bulgarian. Most of the nineteen annualState of the Futurereports were selected byFuture Surveyas among the year¡¯s best books on the future.
The Millennium Project (MP) is integrating all of its information, groups, and software into a ¡°Global Futures Intelligence System¡± (GFIS). GFIS*is The Millennium Project¡¯s new way for you to participate with and have access to all of our resources in one place.
The largest, most comprehensive collection of internationally peer-reviewed handbook on methods and tools to explore future possibilities ever assembled in one resource. Over half of the chapters were written by the inventor of the method or by a significant contributor to the method¡¯s evolution. The electronic download- contains 39 chapters totaling about 1,300 pages. Each method is treated in a separate file in word (.doc) and PDF format.
To order any of the Millennium Project publications you can also use one of the following methods:
Email:info@millennium-project.or (please specify title, quantity, and payment info–major credit cards or US dollars check or money order) or
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State of the Future version 19.1
by Jerome C. Glenn, Elizabeth Florescu, and The Millennium Project Team
Pages: 238; includes some 50 graphs plus infographics for the 15 Global Challenges ISBN: 978-0-9882639-5-6 Library of Congress Control Number: 98-646672
¡°An important example of using scientific methods and collective intelligence to help us understand and act better for the future.¡± — Phil Mjwara, Director General, Ministry of Science & Technology, South Africa
¡°Outstanding report!¡± — Jim Spohrer, Director, Cognitive Opentech Group, IBM
¡°Ahigh level, reliable intellectual compass for the conflict ridden, and uncertain world advancing toward the mid-century.¡± — Mihály Simai, former Chairman, United Nations University
¡°The indispensable guide for futurists and aspiring global citizens everywhere.¡± — Hazel Henderson, Futurist, author, CEO, Ethical Markets Media
¡°Without this kind of guidance, many people would lose their way and get lost in their decision making process.¡± — Julio Millan, President, Azteca Corporation, Mexico
¡°TheState of the Futurehas proved useful for better addressing our resilience objectives.¡± — Lina Liakou, Thessaloniki Vice Mayor and Chief Resilience Officer
¡°Great source of inspiration and focus to our organizations.¡±
The largest, most comprehensive collection of internationally peer-reviewed handbook on methods and tools to explore future possibilities ever assembled in one resource.
Over half of the chapters were written by the inventor of the method or by a significant contributor to the method¡¯s evolution.
The electronic download- contains 39 chapters totaling about 1,300 pages. Each method is treated in a separate file in word (.doc) and PDF format.
The series begins with an introductory chapter to futures research and concludes with a synthesis of methods and speculation about the future of futures research methods. The other 37 chapters cover one specific method (e.g. Futures Wheel, Scenarios) or category of methods (e.g. Systems Perspectives, Normative Forecasting).
Each of the 37 chapters contains:
an executive overview of each method¡¯s history,
description of the method
primary and alternative usages,
strengths and weaknesses,
uses in combination with other methods, and
speculation about future evolution of the method.
Some also contain appendixes with applications, links to software, and sources for further information.
Version 3.0 has not only added new chapters, it has also updated and improved the editing of the previous chapters making this version a significant improvement on theprevious one.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Introduction to Futures Research, Jerome C. Glenn
2. Environmental Scanning, Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn
3. Text Mining for Technology Foresight, Alan L. Porter
4. Delphi, Theodore J. Gordon
5. Real-Time Delphi, Theodore J. Gordon
6. The Futures Wheel, Jerome C. Glenn
7. The Futures Polygon, Antonio Pacinelli
8. Trend Impact Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
9. Cross-Impact Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
10. Wild Cards, John Petersen and Karlheintz Steinmueller
11. Structural Analysis, Jacques Arcade, Michel Godet, Francis Meunier, Fabrice Roubelat
12. The Systems Perspectives, Allenna Leonard with Stafford Beer
13. Decision Modeling, The Futures Group International
14. Substitution Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
15. Statistical Modeling, Antonio Pacinelli
16. Technology Sequence Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon
17. Morphological Analysis, Tom Ritchey
18. Relevance Trees, The Futures Group International and Theodore J. Gordon
19. Scenarios, Jerome C. Glenn and The Futures Group International
20. A Toolbox for Scenario Planning, Michel Godet
21. Interactive Scenarios, Theodore J. Gordon
22. Robust Decisionmaking, Robert Lempert, Steven Popper, Steve Bankes (RAND Corporation)
23. Participatory Methods, Jerome C. Glenn
24. Simulation and Games, Erwin Rausch with additions from Frank Catanzaro
25. Genius Forecasting, Intuition, and Vision, Jerome C. Glenn
26. Prediction Markets, Justin Wolfers and Justin Zitzewitz
27. Using Vision in Futures, Clem Bezold
28. Normative Forecasting, Joe Coates and Jerome C. Glenn
29. S&T Road Mapping, Theodore J. Gordon
30. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR), Geoffrey R. Coyle
31. Agent Modeling (demo software), Theodore J. Gordon
32. Chaos and Non-Linear Dynamics, Theodore Gordon
33. Multiple Perspective Concept, Harold Linstone
34. Heuristics Modeling, Sam Cole
35. Causal Layered Analysis, Sohail Inayatullah
36. Personal Futures, Verne Wheelwright
37.State of the Future Index, Theodore J. Gordon
38. SOFI Software System, Peter Yim
39. Integration, Comparisons, and Frontiers of Futures Research Methods, Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn
FUTURESis the most comprehensive futures studies encyclopedic dictionary that exists to date. It comprises over 1,000 terms and methods used in futures studies. The work was initiated and coordinated by Concepción Olavarrieta, with review and edits of terms done by Theodore Gordon and Jerome Glenn, and with the contribution of more than 500 futurists from The Millennium Project network.
It is available in English and Spanish.
It can be downloaded as pdf file.
See a more detailed description, the list of terms, and order forms:
¡°A lucid, thought-provoking, strategically oriented exploration of the transforming world order.¡± — Mihaly Simai, former Chairman, United Nations University
¡°The State of the Future can make a difference in the world. Well done.¡± — Wendell Bell, Professor Emeritus, Yale University
¡°Global intelligence on the future of the world in the palm of your hand.¡± — Kurzweil AI News
¡°So important for many people around the world.¡± — Eleonora Masini, former Secretary and President, World Futures Studies Federation
¡°Absolutely worth the reader¡¯s time¡¦ takes the reader much farther forward than most thinking.¡± — Defense & Foreign Affairs Policy Journal
¡°Strategic Planning for the Planet¡¦ remarkably articulate and prescient.¡± — Willian Halal, Foresight Journal
Publisher:American Council for the UNU (December 19, 2012)
Language:English; Spanish
ISBN:978-1-4717313-5-8
Scenarios de Latinoamérica 2030 El Millennium Project inició un estudio de dos años sobre el futuro de Latinoamérica en 2009. La primera fase de este estudio consistió en la realización de una encuesta con la metodología Real-Time Delphi (RTD) durante los ejercicios 2009 – 2010, y un segundo estudio RTD que ha sido diseñado para integrar los resultados del primero en forma de escenarios de Latinoamérica 2030.
Más de 550 personas de alrededor de 60 países participaron en el estudio durante un período de siete semanas.
El Real-Time Delphi ayudó a identificar algunos desarrollos con alta probabilidad y gran relevancia (denominados ¡°buena apuesta¡±) y otros con relativamente baja probabilidad pero gran relevancia (denominados ¡°sorpresas¡±). Adicionalmente, los expertos corroboraron el ¡°ascenso¡± de China y el posicionamiento de Brasil como el país más influyente de Latinoamérica.
¡°The most influential annual report on what we know about the future of humanity.¡± — Paul Werbos, National Science Foundation¡°One of the premier guides to global future trends for asset managers.¡± — Hazel Henderson, President, Ethical Markets¡°Global intelligence on the future of the world in the palm of your hand.¡± — KurzweilAI News¡°Strategic Planning for the Planet¡¦ remarkably articulate and prescient.¡± — Willian Halal, Foresight Journal
¡°The SOF report continues, year after year, to be the best introduction—by far —to a broad range of major global issues and long-term remedies.¡± — Michael Marien, Global Foresight Books
¡°Brilliant! Never ending source of invention and creativity.¡± — Riel Miller, Foresight Director, UNESCO
OrderBulgarian2013-14 State of the Future: please email Mariana Todorova <mariana_g_todorova@yahoo.com>
OrderKorean2013-14 State of the Future: available in the bookstores in Korea, or email Youngsook Park <harmsen@naver.com>
Identification of Potential Terrorists and Adversary Planning — Emerging Technologies and New Counter-Terror Strategies
Edited by Theodore J. Gordon, Elizabeth Florescu, Jerome Glenn, and Yair Sharan
Never before have technological advances had so great an impact on security—not only increasing the nature and level of threats, but also for the possibility of providing the means to address the threats. Technologies that could increase security include ubiquitous and omnipresent surveillance systems, the use of new algorithms for big data, improving bio- and psycho-metrics, and artificial intelligence and robotics. Yet trustworthy and reliable partners and an active and alert society remain sine qua non to reduce terrorism.
¡°To my mind, this publication is one of the best studies of modern terrorism and what to do about it that we have at our disposal. So I am confident that it will find a wide readership, not only in academic or think tank circles, but even more importantly, among policy makers and government officials. They stand to benefit most and they can afford least of all to ignore the important conclusions and recommendations that this wise publication has provided.¡± Jamie SHEA Deputy Assistant Secretary General, Emerging Security Challenges Division, NATO
by Theodore J. Gordon, Yair Sharan, and Elizabeth Florescu
200 pages Electronic (downladable PDF) or Papareback print format ISBN: 978-0-692-45554-8
We believe that a new kind of arms race is developing. On one hand, is the possibility of increasingly destructive weapons falling into the wrong hands, and on the other, the development of new methods of surveillance and pinpointing individuals with malintent. Will the methods of detection be adequate and timely enough to avoid catastrophe? It is often said that one of the major purposes of futures research is to provide lead-time to decision makers and the decision process; we have lead-time. We hope it will be used to reduce the threat we see in front of us.
Albert Einstein is supposed to have said, ¡°The world will not be destroyed by those who do evil, but by those who watch and do nothing.¡± We hope we have done something with this book.
¡°A must read for any decision maker¡± — Enrique Peña Nieto, Governor of the State of Mexico ¡°The best introduction to the major global issues and long-term remedies¡± — Global Foresight Books ¡°The value and role of The Millennium Project is priceless.¡± — Shamsaddin Hajiyev Gummat, Chair, Sci & Educ., Parliament of Azerbaijan
CD containing about 10, 000 + pages of research behind the print edition and The Millennium Project¡¯s 16 years of cumulative research and methods.
by Jerome C. Glenn, Theodore J. Gordon, and Elizabeth Florescu
Paperback with CD 100-page print and an attached CD containing about 8,500 + pages of research behind the print edition and The Millennium Project¡¯s 15 years of cumulative research and methods.
by Jerome C. Glenn, Theodore J. Gordon, and Elizabeth Florescu
Paperback with CD
83-page print and an attached CD containing about 7,000 pages of research behind the print edition and The Millennium Project¡¯s 14 years of cumulative research and methods.
by Jerome C. Glenn, Theodore J. Gordon, and Elizabeth Florescu
Paperback with CD
100-page print and an attached CD containing about 6,700 pages of research behind the print edition and The Millennium Project¡¯s 13 years of cumulative research and methods.
by Jerome C. Glenn, Theodore J. Gordon, and Elizabeth Florescu
Paperback with CD-ROM ¡¦ enclosed CD contains about 6,300 pages of research behind this print edition, as well as the Millennium Project¡¯s 12 years of study and analysis.
¡¦ enclosed CD contains over 6,000 pages of research behind this print edition, plus the Millennium Project¡¯s eleven years of cumulative research & methods.
¡¦ enclosed CD contains over 5,400 pages of research behind this print edition, plus the Millennium Project¡¯s nine years of cumulative research and methods.
¡¦ enclosed CD contains over 3,500 pages of research behind this print edition, plus the Millennium Project¡¯s nine years of cumulative research and methods.
¡¦ enclosed CD contains over 3,000 pages of research behind this print edition, plus the Millennium Project¡¯s eight years of cumulative research and methods.
¡¦ enclosed CD contains over 2,500 pages of research behind this print edition, plus the Millennium Project¡¯s seven years of cumulative research and methods.
2002 State of the Futureis a unique resource for those who care about global change and improving the future. It provides an assessment of the human situation as a whole, prospects for the future, and actions for today. It is used by both those who need the most precise briefings and those who want the full research background. Each chapter in the book is an executive summary of more complete reports in the CD-ROM section of about 2,000 pages. As a result, it provides a common platform for global actors, educators, and the concerned public to use in building more coherent policy.
Paperback with CD-ROM. 100 pages print and about 2,000 pages CD-ROM
¡°The Millennium Project on the State of the Future combines, as it should, flights of imagination into the far future with tightly focused analyses of present challenges. An indispensable volume for those who seek both the inspiration and enlightenment needed to meet the challenges that will make a productive future possible.¡± — Michael W. Doyle, Special Adviser to the Secretary-General, United Nations
Paperback with CD-ROM. 90 pages print and 1,500 page CD-ROM.
Paperback: 90 pages
CD-ROM:1,500 pages
Publisher:American Council for the United Nations (August 1, 2001)
¡°The past can only be described, but we can write the future together.The State of the Futureoffers us a creative and new project of hope.¡±
—Frederico Mayor, former Director-General of UNESCO
Best selling book at the July 23-26, 2000 World Future Society Conference.
State of the Future at the Millenniumis a ¡°report card on the future¡± written as an easy guide to what¡¯s happing that can change the world with a range of views from around the world about who should do what to improve our prospects. This is what the educated world citizen should know. It gives you a sense of how humanity can get it all together.
Paperback:92 pages
CD-ROM:1000 pages
Publisher:American Council for the United Nations (July 22, 2000)
1999 State of the Future: Challenges We Face at the Millennium
by Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon
¡°The State of the Future distilles both foresight and genuine wisdom for humanity¡¯s common future – from a global, multi-cultural collegium of advanced thinkers assembled by the Millennium Project. A major social innovation.¡±
— Hazel Henderson
¡°Scouting the future frontier into which we so slowly moved wasn¡¯t particularly challenging yesteryear. Hugely different now; more so tomorrow, as this book reveals. It is an eye opener: sober, challenging, exciting, appropriately scary. It¡¯s something you should read if you expect to go along, especially if you would like to affect the route.¡±
— Doug Engelbart
Paperback:340 pages
Publisher:Amer Council for the United Nations; 1 edition (July 22, 1999)
1998 State of the Future: Issues and Opportunities
by Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon
15 global opportunities with judgements about polices to achieve them, interactions with 15 global issues from 1997 report, global exploratory and normative scenarios, lessons and questions from history, and annotated bibliography of 250 scenarios.
Paperback:304 pages
Publisher:American Council for the United Nations; 1 edition (July 15, 1998)
1997 State of the Future: Challenges We Face at the Millennium
by Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon
15 global issues with judgements about polices to address them, global scenarios, methodological issues, internet scanning, and annotated bibliography of 200 scenarios.
Paperback:202 pages
Publisher:American Council for the United Nations University (1997)