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  [일반] 세계미래회의2007. 7. 29-31 주요내용들 게시글을 twitter로 보내기 게시글을 facebook으로 보내기
write date : 2007-08-03 09:21:50   
  일반 >세계미래회의2007. 7. 29-31 주요내용들
Dear Futurists
Thank you for asking for copies of my presentation with David Snyder at the World Future Society conference. I apologize for the problems with the computer. Alas, technology and time do not always cooperate. 
The slides are as presented with the exception of one added, The Medison $150 computer, which no one has yet seen or has reported on as far as I can tell.
The Neo1973 is in the hands of developers, but will be priced much like the iPhone of Apple and thus we can expect that it will be available. While there are prototypes of others such as the "Simputer" from India and MIT's OLPC which have been mentioned in other sessions of the WFS conference, non has appeared in the hands of the public, but much has been written. OLPC site does have a wiki.
The key piece to note on the technologies is getting more portable and the delivery is becoming more transparent as we are seeing a merging of the ability to access knowledge via wireless or wifi. The European and Asian networks are faster than the US and the phones are more portable and less provider dependent. Nokia is now selling English lessons to Chinese owners of their phones for about 25cents and the Chinese also have separate learning systems about the size of the iPhone and more like a portable media unit. Thus, the technology for use and delivery lags in the U.S.
The question was raised, in the session regarding learning on such "small" screens. As I mentioned, it was thought that no one would watch downloads of movies on the iPhone. Verizon is now offering a screen to watch TV on their phones and many use their "blackberries" or equivalents to surf web. During the Minnesota Futurists evening session on wednesday, it was announced that a major highway bridge in Minneapolis had collapsed. Rather than going to the TV sets in the bar or their rooms, one could see people studiously scrolling through live feeds on their PDA's. QED.
The second slide is copied from the Helios Report to the European Distance and E-Learning Network, EDEN, http://www.eden-online.org/eden.php and depicts where they see internet or e learning trending. I am sorry we did not have time to discuss this insightful report. But, basically, the projections are that social networks, constructivitst learning will start to manifest itself. Look for knowledge to be more open, as seen in courses online for free from MIT and others with the fees charged for "certification"  We are seeing this in the social networking model commonly called web 2.0 and now web 3.0   Much of this insight has evolved in the private sector in an arena called "knowledge management", "value networks" and similar rubrics, often not seen in academia, except dimly in business schools or in the edge arena termed "new media" heavily populated by artists and allied areas.
The quadrant discussion on the types of synthetic worlds is from the metaverseroadmap (see sites of value slide). The quick read is the executive summary with the detailed backup in the larger 75 page report which is filled with links. The site and its wiki are worth following.
Second Life has two lists of interest the research list for those studying SL and that which is devoted to education. The latter is noisy and has a lot of newbies. Both are better if received in digest form at an email address separate from your principle address where you get critical correspondence
I would suggest that one really needs to think about the synthetic worlds as foreign countries. Economists are starting to understand this fact as these worlds impact on the brick space where most of us live. Anshe Chung, the avatar in SL who is now a millionaire and who made the cover of May 1, 2006 Business Week, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anshe_Chung  attests to this.
What indeed is the significance of the "Black Swans"
Please feel free to contact me if there are any questions
tom p abeles
612 823 3154
612 803 6459 cell
 - presentation 07.ppt

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